Loading...
AdminLTE Logo
  • PSRTI | Completed Research Studies
AdminLTE Logo PSRTI



Estimating Official Poverty Statistics in Non-FIES Years

Year: 2020
Author: Manuel Leonard F. Albis, Roxanne Jean L. Elumbre, Dannela Jann B. Galias & Jessa S. Lopez

Abstract:

With poverty eradication being the focus of countries around the world, the need for a comprehensive and timely poverty statistics has never been more pressing. Although official poverty statistics are generated by national statistical systems, existing limitations prevent the generation of yearly official poverty statistics. In this regard, this paper presents an alternative method of estimating poverty statistics even on years when household survey data is not collected. Macroeconomic indicators, along with demographic and employment information from the Labor Force Survey were considered in the model and were found to be plausible determinants of poverty incidence. Ultimately, a complete annual time series of poverty statistics was produced from an estimated Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) using the state-space form. Relatively high forecast accuracy was observed for the predicted values of poverty incidence.

Keywords:Dynamic Factor Model (DFM), factor analysis, poverty statistics, poverty incidence, state-space form, forecasting, poverty estimation

File request
First name
Middle name
Last name
Email
Agency
DATA PRIVACY CONSENT/AGREEMENT

The Privacy Notice of the Philippine Statistical Research and Training Institute:

Personal Information and Purpose:

We shall be getting the following personal information from you when you electronically submit to us your registration form, inquiries, complaints, suggestions and other requests:

In the conduct of our research and training activities, you will be asked for pertinent personal information such as your name, age, gender, contact information, and other details. The personal information we collect will be used solely for documentation and processing purposes within the PSRTI and will NOT be shared with any outside parties. The data will also be used to provide clients and stakeholders updates and advisories of our statistical researches and training-related activities.

Protection of Clients Data/Information:

We give assurance that all personal information will be stored, secured and kept in strictest confidence by PSRTI where only authorized personnel can have access to online personal information. Collected/gathered information will not be shared to any unauthorized PSRTI staff or those from outside parties.

You hereby grant permission to PSRTI to:
  • collect, store and manage the data collected from you.
  • randomly capture photo/s for the purpose of research/training documentation to be used in marketing collaterals, ads, website and other marketing mediums of PSRTI.
  • use your e-mail to receive e-flyers and other brochures for marketing purposes.
Version 1.0.0
Copyright © 2020 psrti.gov.ph. All rights reserved.